REDSKINS VS EAGLES - 3RD LOOK
Today’s Free Pick
| GAME: Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles Oct 3, 2010 4:15PM |
| SPORT: National Football League Picks |
| PICK: under |
| Offered at: 43 SPORTSBETTING |
| REASON FOR PICK: There will be many different story lines surrounding Donovan McNabb's return to the "City of Brotherly Love"; all of that aside, for a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under": The Redskins have seen the total go "under" the number in one of their three contests to start the year; last week they lost in St. Louis 30-16, the total sailing above the number of 39. Everything looked so bright and shiny after the Redskins 13-7 Week 1 victory over the Cowboys; since then it's been heartbreak and disaster. In Week 2 they suffered the OT loss to the Texans before succumbing to the lowly St. Louis Rams in their last contest. As awesome as they looked on the offensive side of the ball vs. Houston (444 total yards of offense), was as awful as they looked last week; just 1 for 10 on third down and 0 for 3 in the red zone. After their matchup with the Eagles, the Redskins have two more extremely tough games vs. the Packers and the Colts. But you know what, as horrible as they've looked on the offensive side of the ball, I actually believe this team needs to make more adjustments on the defensive side of the ball if they have any hope of salvaging a decent season; after allowing just 7-points in Week 1, Washington has allowed 60-points over its last two contests. Star receiver Santana Moss agrees; "It's crazy because you see how good we can be as far as an offense," Moss said. "Red zone is hurting us right now. We get down there no problem, but we gotta find a way to (score touchdowns)." It's important to note that Washington has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 15 of 25 games over the last two seasons vs. conference opponents; also in four of five as a road dog of 3 1/2 to 7-points. On the other side of the field: The Eagles have seen the total go "under" the number in two of three contests to start the season; last week they won at Jacksonville 28-3, the total staying well below the number of 45. Mike Vick lived up to expectations last week and in the process made Andy Reid look like a…well, maybe "genius" is a little too much praise, but certainly his performance has shut the door on this QB "controversy"; "He's been playing his heart out," said Reid. "He played his heart out again today. It's a tribute to what he has done and how he has handled things. I'm proud of him for doing that." Vick has yet to throw an INT this year; he's been extremely efficient and balanced and is at his best when controlling and dictating the tempo (clock) of the game. After allowing 57-points over their first two games, the Eagles held the Jaguars to just 3-points last week; David Garrarrd finished 13 of 30 for 105 yards and was sacked six times. Bottom line: It must also be noted that these teams have a history of playing tight defensive affairs; in 9 of their last 13 vs. each other, regardless of the location, the total has stayed below the posted number. After taking all of the above factors into consideration, the "under" appears to be the prudent wager in this situation. Nick annihilated the books in Weeks 1 and 2 with his NFL selections. He stumbled in Week 3 going 1-4, getting some redemption with his big MNF play on the "under", and keeping his incredibly lucrative MNF run in tact and going strong. Here are the numbers: 10-8 overall; dating back to the pre-season he's 11-4 (73%) with *10* "TOP PLAYS"; he is 7-3 (70%) with *10* plays in the regular season; he's on a 5-3 "totals" run; he's also on a 3-1 (75%) **CODE RED** BLOWOUT run; he's also on a 6-1 (87%) MNF run; also a 6-2 (75%) "GAME OF THE WEEK" run. And remember, Nick finished as the #4 NFL Capper in the Nation last year, as independently documented by the Sports-Watch of Las Vegas. Join him this week as he returns to the winners circle in a BIG way! |
Posted by Tainer at 9/30/2010 12:07 PM 
Categories: Today’s Free Pick
Tags: FREE PRO PLAYS OF THE DAY - NFL
Categories: Today’s Free Pick
Tags: FREE PRO PLAYS OF THE DAY - NFL
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