KENT ST VS MIAMI OHIO
Today’s Free Pick
| GAME: Kent St. @ Miami Ohio Oct 2, 2010 1:00PM |
| SPORT: College Football Picks |
| PICK: Kent St. |
| Offered at: -3 Belmont |
| REASON FOR PICK: The MAC opener takes place for both Miami Ohio and Kent St. and it is a welcomed game for both. The RedHawks already have more wins than all of last season, two, but they were not very impressive as they outgained the two foes by a total of only 16 yards. Kent St. meanwhile is coming off two tough games on the road at Penn St. and Boston College but those games help heading into this one despite losing both. The line has completely reversed itself as early sharp money rolled in on the Golden Flashes. The Kent St. defense is a very under the radar unit. Last season the Golden Flashes finished 51st in total defense and 40th in scoring defense and with seven starters back, improvement was expected and we have already seen it. Kent St. is currently 22nd in total defense including first in the nation in rushing defense, allowing just 61.3 ypg. The Golden Flashes possess three playmakers on defense, one at each level and defensive end Monte Simmons will be returning this week after breaking his left fibula in the season opener. Miami Ohio was horrible on offense a season ago and things are not much better this season. The RedHawks finished 84th overall and 116th in scoring in 2009 and in 2010, they are 107th overall and 92nd in scoring. The problem here is that they are going to have a tough time against the Kent St. stop unit. Miami has gone from a wide-open, pass oriented offense in 2009 to a careful, run-first attack this year and that is not going to get better against the Golden Flashes. Offensively, Kent St. has struggled the last two weeks, but let’s face it; taking on Penn St. and Boston College will bog down most offenses. The passing game has been decent behind quarterback Spencer Keith who played well as a true freshman a year ago when he filled in for then starter Giorgio Morgan. He has picked up the West Coast offense very well and will get another weapon back this week. Running back Eugene Jarvis should be back as the sixth-year senior sat out the last two games with a groin injury suffered in a season-opening win over Murray St. Defensively, Miami Ohio has been pretty solid this season as it is 43rd in the country in total defense but the weakness falls into the strength of the Golden Flashes and that is passing. The RedHawks are 76th in passing defense but more importantly are 94th in passing efficiency defense. They are allowing opponents to complete 65.6 percent of their passes. Miami Ohio has been very good against the run but despite the solid overall numbers, it is allowing 29 ppg on the season. Kent St. falls into a solid situation as well. Play against home teams that scored 14 points or fewer in their last game going up against an opponent that scored nine points or fewer in its last game. This situation is 39-11 ATS (78 percent) over the last five seasons. Also, Miami Ohio is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after allowing 42 or more points, losing those games by an average of 22.2 ppg. 3* Kent St. Golden Flashes Only one word can sum up Week Four for Matt and that is PERFECT! He is coming off a 5-0 CLEAN SWEEP on Saturday and his overall week ended up a PERFECT 7-0 ATS (100%)! Speaking of PERFECT, Matt has found some incredible angles and situations for his Underdog Game of the Month as it is backed by PERFECT 37-0 ATS (100%) Angles! Do not miss out on this MASSIVE Report! |
Posted by Tainer at 10/1/2010 12:27 PM 
Categories: Today’s Free Pick
Tags: FREE PRO PLAYS OF THE DAY - NAACF
Categories: Today’s Free Pick
Tags: FREE PRO PLAYS OF THE DAY - NAACF
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