REDS VS PHILLIES - OCT6
Today’s Free Pick
| GAME: Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies Oct 6, 2010 5:07PM |
| SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks |
| PICK: Philadelphia Phillies |
| Offered at: -203 BetJamaica |
| REASON FOR PICK: The price on the Phillies is a little too steep to qualify as one of my "guaranteed" selections. That said, given the Game 1 pitching matchup and venue, I feel that the line is actually quite reasonable. Halladay gets the call and he's had yet another superb campaign. For the season, he was 21-10 with a 2.44 ERA and 252 strikeouts in 250 2/3 innings. That includes a 12-5 mark with a 2.21 ERA here at home, with four complete games. Not only is he coming off a great season, Halladay is a fierce competitor, one who values and understands his spot in the history books. He made one home start against the Reds this season. You may remember that one. Cincinnati's Travis Wood dominated Philadelphia's lineup, which was depleted by injuries at the time, and took a perfect game into the 9th inning. Yet, Halladay didn't blink. Rather, he tossed nine shutout innings of his own, keeping the game scoreless. The Phillies would eventually win 1-0 in the bottom of the 11th. Now much healthier and averaging 5.25 runs their last dozen home games, the Phillies figures to give Halladay at least a little run support here. Granted, Volquez pitched very well in September. However, he was shaky in two August starts and still has a mediocre 4.31 ERA in 12 starts, since returning from the elbow surgery at the All-Star Break. More importantly, a closer look reveals that he had a solid 3.23 ERA at home but an ugly 6.08 The Phillies have dominated the Reds here. They're 11-2 the last 13 times that the teams faced each other here at Philadelphia, including a perfect 6-0 the last six. With Halladay on the mound, they've got a great shot at improving on those numbers. All things considered, I feel the current line is fair. Consider laying the wood. |

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