ATS- PICKS N PLAYS: DENVER VS RAVENS

ATS Sports

GAME: Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens Oct 10, 2010 1:00PM
SPORT: National Football League Picks
PICK: over
Offered at: 38.5 Belmont
REASON FOR PICK: For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "over": Denver has seen the total go "over" the number in 3 of their 4 contests to start the year; last week they upset the Titans 26-20 on the road, the total going "over" the number of 43 1/2. Kyle Orton has led the Broncos to the No. 1 passing offense in the league and will once again have to be explosive on the road if they have any chance of beating the Ravens. Dating back to last season the Broncos have seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 9 overall; also in 5 of their last 6 on the road; in fact over the last two seasons Denver has seen the total go "over" the number in 12 of 18 road contests. On the other side of the field: Baltimore has seen the total go "over" the number in just 1 of 4 contests this season; that said, I look for Joe Flacco to come out throwing in this one as the Ravens look to keep pace with the surprising Broncos passing game. Interesting to note that Baltimore has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in 3 of 5 games over the last two seasons vs. AFC West division opponents. Bottom line: When taking all of the above factors into consideration, you may want to consider a second look at the "over" in this situation. Good luck gentlemen…N Parsons

Posted by Tainer at 10/7/2010 11:07 AM